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Paul Austin-Menear's avatar

"If AI Can Replace Your Job, Maybe It Should"

And what of the human cost, to livelihoods and families? To communities? We live in a system where the means of production and capital allocation are driven by capitalism. Capitalism is good at efficiently allocating resources, and when markets are competitive within environments of commonsense regulatory guardrails, capitalism is good at producing choice and benefit for consumers and supports innovation.

Capitalism is *not* good at providing people the means to support themselves. That's merely a byproduct of human work, which is valued by supply and demand. The system treats humans as an afterthought, because that's what they are to the system. If capitalism could function without humans, it would. We're now flirting with that.

I'm not entirely opposed to the intellectual position that your headline posits, inefficiency is a risk to the resilience and profitability of an organization (and thus, competition, which is good for consumers). But the wholesale replacement of human work by AI risks further exacerbating wealth inequality, which can erode the stability of society.

Yes, society can adapt to mass AI-related displacement of labour within a generation or so. The cost will be high, if the hype machine lives up its promises and the transition speed is what the leading frontier model developers want.

People who spent half their lives getting an education and progressive work experience who are too old to retrain as electricians, plumbers, and pipe fitters will be put in a tough spot in that scenario though. Some of them might fall on hard times of the kind not seen since the Great Depression.

What's the acceptable number of people to sacrifice in the name of "progress"? A thousand? A million? Ten million? What would the fabric of society look like if a million people within a wealthy country like the USA were out of work in the span of a few years without any prospects of replacing the income from that work? Would there be less inequality, or more? Less violence, or more? Less discord, or more? Less division, or more?

And what would the erosion of that discretionary spending power do to the US economy, which is heavily reliant on consumer spending?

Societies are also systems, and the businesses which operate within them are reliant upon society. It *is* possible for progress to extract too high a cost, and for the snake to eat its tail.

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